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Israel Stands as the Sole Loser in Every Scenario

The attacks in Gaza have been ongoing for over six months, and in this tragedy, the greatest harm is being suffered by defenseless civilians, particularly women and children. Israel’s restriction of access to humanitarian aid, food, and medicine has raised serious concerns in the international community.

Following a Hamas attack last October, Western countries initially justified Israel’s intense attacks on the people of Gaza by citing Israel’s right to defend itself. However, as the attacks continued and the death toll rose, mass protests erupted worldwide, especially in major Western cities.

Public opinion in the West began to shift against the Israeli government due to its oppressive actions. A series of Security Council resolutions called for an immediate ceasefire in Israel, but these were blocked by the US veto power. In January, the International Court of Justice ruled that Israel must take measures to avoid committing genocide against the Palestinians. Currently, the International Court of Justice is investigating allegations that Germany facilitated genocide by providing weapons to Israel.

As public pressure increased, the US stance changed, and it abstained from a Security Council resolution calling for an immediate ceasefire on March 25. President Joe Biden’s calls for Israel to reach an agreement with Hamas became more pronounced. Domestically, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s popularity is waning, and he faces protests from the families of hostages. Netanyahu’s desperation peaked on April 1 when he ordered an attack on the Iranian embassy building, an act intended to shift global attention from Gaza to Iran and involve the US in the war.

After an unusual direct attack by Iran on Israel, an eerie silence has prevailed. Earlier this month, Tehran launched hundreds of drones and missiles into Israeli territory in retaliation for an airstrike on its consulate in Damascus that killed senior military commanders. This was a controlled operation designed to send a strong message against any attack on the Zionist state. Yet, in every scenario, Israel emerges as the loser.

It’s not over yet. Tel Aviv’s expected retaliatory attack has heightened tensions in the region. Calls from Israel’s Western allies and the international community at large are likely insufficient to deter the Zionist regime intent on conflict. While Iran’s response was quickly condemned, the killing of Iranian military commanders was overlooked. Israel’s direct military operation against Iranian facilities will likely expand the conflict with serious consequences for the Middle East and the world. The risk of full-scale military conflict between the two major regional powers is extremely high, and right-wing Israeli groups are pressing for a response to Iran’s attack.

Israel’s stance has led Western countries, particularly Germany, to question Israel’s demand for revenge. The German foreign minister stated, “The right to self-defense means repelling an attack; retaliation is not a category in international law.” Until last week, Iran had not responded directly to Israel, but had issued statements filled with widespread condemnation of Israel and occasional threats to ‘wipe out’ Israel.

The world’s eyes are now fixed on Iran and Israel. Three factors will be decisive between the two countries. First, the US explicitly stating its opposition to a broader war, yet Western countries continue to stand behind Israel and increase sanctions against Iran. Second, both countries testing each other’s capabilities and Iran ensuring its deterrence. Third, the failure of Israel’s efforts to shift attention from Gaza to Iran and involve the US in the war.

As long as the war in Gaza continues, there is no guarantee that another conflict will not be ignited. In every scenario where Israel continues to lose, this conflict spark is somehow ignited. It has led to the deaths of thousands of innocent civilians and shaken the belief in the invincibility of Israel’s military power. Arab countries have little influence over Israel other than facilitating ceasefire negotiations. Consequently, Israel has not yet achieved its goals of creating ‘Greater Israel’ or eliminating Palestinian resistance.

Although Iran’s retaliatory attack has increased regional tensions, despite international calls for moderation, Israel’s vow of revenge continues. Following Iran’s attack, there is an expectation that the war could end if Israel and the US do not respond. The Netanyahu regime is doing everything it can to provoke Hezbollah in Lebanon and Iranian interests in Syria. Most Israelis are not keen on a regional war that would disrupt their way of life. One can only hope that both the Iranian and Israeli people will avoid a devastating, broader war. It remains to be seen when Israelis will realize that the war in Gaza will be remembered like the Holocaust in Europe 90 years ago.

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YUKSEL DURGUT
YUKSEL DURGUT
YÜKSEL DURGUT is a journalist with a primary focus on global politics and foreign affairs. He serves as the Foreign Relations Director of the International Journalists Association e.V. and holds the position of Editor-in-Chief at Journalist Post.
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